Premier League title race: Who has the best fixtures – Man City, Arsenal or Liverpool?

Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool all have tricky tests to pass as the Premier League title race enter its final weeks, but who has the best run-in?

Jamie Braidwood
Saturday 04 May 2024 14:43
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Jurgen Klopp apologises to Liverpool fans after Merseyside derby defeat

The Premier League is heading for a classic title race, with Manchester City and Arsenal set for a thrilling battle as we enter the final weeks of the season.

But what was shaping up to be a three-way race for the title is now down to two challengers. Liverpool dropped points for the fourth time in five Premier League games as they were held to a 2-2 draw at West Ham, after a 2-0 defeat at Everton all but eliminated Jurgen Klopp’s from the title race.

It means Arsenal are the closest challengers to City’s crown and Mikel Arteta’s side took a big step to securing a first Premier League title in 20 years as they held on to claim a vital 3-2 win at Tottenham in a chaotic north London derby.

The champions have another game in hand after Nottingham Forest wasted chances and City won 2-0 at the City Ground, as Guardiola’s side aim to win a fourth league title in a row – a feat that has never been achieved in the history of English football, and the title is still in their hands.

So, with three weeks to go, which team has the best fixtures and who has the hardest run of games to end the season? Here’s where the title could be won and lost...

Arsenal

Points: 83 (played 36)

GD: +60

Avg. opponents PpG: 1.44

Difficulty: ★★★

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Arsenal are doing all they can do. Since that costly 2-0 defeat to Aston Villa last month, Mikel Arteta’s side have simply picked up where they left off - but they know it may not be enough.

The Gunners look like they will take Manchester City to the final day after a three-match winning run against Chelsea, Tottenham and Bournemouth opened up a four-point gap over Pep Guardiola’s side.

City will play twice before Arsenal head to Old Trafford and face Manchester United on the penultimate weekend of the season. On paper, Arteta’s side should win comfortably, but it’s never been an easy fixture for the Gunners.

Arsenal still need City to drop points but they have rediscovered their form, and just look at that goal difference. It gives the Gunners a chance of pushing Guardiola’s side to the end of the season.

Manchester City

Points: 79 (played 34)

GD: +50

Avg. opponents PpG: 1.44

Difficulty: ★★★

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Pressure? What pressure? City responded to falling two games and four points behind Arsenal by thrashing Brighton 4-0 without Erling Haaland. They then beat Nottingham Forest by two, with Haaland netting once off the bench.

City, after all, have been here before and their Premier League fixtures are looking favourable. A trip to Tottenham, where City have never won in the Premier League under Guardiola, is their toughest fixture of the run-in. The Gunners could do with a favour from their north London rivals, there.

That fixture will now be played in the final week of the season, after City reached another FA Cup final with victory over Chelsea. It could be a must-win match for Ange Postecoglou’s side, too, as Spurs aim to secure Champions League qualification. Tottenham will know what they need by then, too, after already facing Arsenal and Liverpool.

With Arsenal set to be a game ahead of Pep Guardiola’s side until then, it could create the illusion of City playing catch-up. But City are looking like champions again.

Liverpool

Points: 75 (played 35)

GD: +41

Avg. opponents PpG: 1.50

Difficulty: ★★★★

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Liverpool could not afford any more dropped points after a 2-2 draw against Manchester United at Old Trafford and a shock 1-0 defeat at home to Crystal Palace.

But it is Everton who may have landed the final blow as Jurgen Klopp lost at Goodison Park for the first time and Liverpool were stunned by Sean Dyche’s side in a 2-0 defeat in the Merseyside Derby.

It’s all but over for Klopp and Liverpool after a 2-2 draw at West Ham and there are still tricky fixtures to come.

Liverpool face Tottenham at Anfield before a trip to Aston Villa on Monday night in the final week of the season, giving Liverpool a tough final trio of games in May when Wolves at home on the final day is also considered. Their title hopes could be over by then, however.

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